Wednesday 9 January 2013

Oscar Best Film Predictions

So I've still got a second catch up session to do, but with the Oscar nominations being just around the corner I thought I'd through my had in the ring in guessing what will be nominated for  best movie. As with last year, the minimum number of movies that can be nominated is five and the maximum is ten. Some of these movies haven't even been released in Australia yet, but I'm basing my predictions on the movies I have seen, the kinds of  movies that normally get nominated, movies that have been nominated for other awards and general Oscars buzz. Predictions have been split into three, guaranteed,  likely and possible.

Guaranteed Nominations

You can bet your bottom dollar the following four movies will be nominated. I really should have five guaranteed nominees seeing as there has to be five movies nominated, but there are only four I'm 100% sure of.

Lincoln (Not out in Australia yet)

Steven Spielberg + Historical Drama + Daniel Day-Lewis. This would be nominated even if it was the worst movie ever made just based on the above formula. To be honest, unless it's especially good I really hope it doesn't win as it's such an predictable and boring choice for best picture. But I am looking forward to seeing it.

Zero Dark Thirty (Not out in Australia yet)

Pretty much all the critics are raving about it, it's a political drama about recent history and it's been nominated for heaps of other awards. Yeah, it's a lock for a nomination. Also, it's directed by Kathryn Bigelow who directed The Hurt Locker, winner of the best picture from a few years back.

Argo

Ditto Zero Dark Thirty. Except this is directed by Ben Affleck, who's profile as a director is slowly rising.

Les Miserables

It's been a while since a musical has received a best picture nomination, however this a big budget, lavish production of one of the most popular musicals in recent history featuring a big name cast with the director of The Kings Speech at the helm. Of course it will be nominated.

Likely Nominations

These ones will most likely get a nomination, I'm just not bold enough to say it with any certainty.

Silver Linings Playbook (Not out in Australia yet)

This one almost HAS to be nominated as the Oscars always have a token comedy film in the list and this is the only comedy that is getting any significant Oscar buzz.

Beasts of the Southern Wild

A critical darling and with good reason (it's one of the best movies of 2012 by a mile) this is another movie that almost HAS to be nominated to demonstrate that the Oscars still appreciate smaller, independent movies and  also movies that are, you know, good.

The Master

Similar in tone and theme to Paul Thomas Anderson's last effort, There Will be Blood, which did earn a best picture nomination. This one is almost as good, but it's a little more avant-garde and bizarre which may put Oscar voters off, but all the critical applause it's received should push it over the line.

Possible Nominations

So that's seven movies that will almost certainly be nominated, however there are a  possible ten nomination spots up for grabs, so I'll name another three for good measure.

Django Unchained (Not out in Australia yet)

The reviews for this one see to suggest that it's very good, if not Taratino's best. But it's still Taratino and boasts and impressive cast, so I think it could be looked on favourably by Oscar voters.

Life of Pi

Getting a fare bit of buzz, Oscar voters usually like Ang Lee, plus it's a good movie, which helps. So I think it's in with a good chance.

Amour

There's been at least one instance where a movie has been nominated for best foreign language film and best picture (Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon) and I'm hoping beyond hope that it happens again with Amour. Getting a surprising amount of buzz, I was happy last year when my favourite film of 2011, Tree of Life, was simply nominated in the best picture category. I'd be equally as happy here.

So that's that. The last couple of years have seen a number of great movies nominated for best picture, but the main prize always goes to the wrong movie. I predict the same will happen again this year.

Saturday 5 January 2013

And the best movie of 2012 is......

discussed at the bottom.

Got some old stuff to catch up on. Most of these will be pretty brief cause I saw them a while ago, but, you know, I'm trying catch up so I gotta cut some corners.

Argo f*ck yourself

No that's not a diss on Ben Affleck's latest directorial effort, but a line that's used several times in the movie for superb comedic effect. Funny stuff. Based on a true story Argo follows the efforts of Ben Affleck's CIA character to rescue six American Embassy employees in Iran who take refuge in the Canadian Embassy after  a group of protesters take the rest of the American staff hostage. Argo is the name of the fake Sci-Fi film that he pretends to be producing as a cover to  get into the country. But that's enough about the story.

After years of being at least mildly disrespected as an actor Ben Affleck is really staring to make a name for himself as a major filmmaker, with Gone Baby Gone, The Town and now Argo all being successes. The direction and scripting are hella tight, the performances all fine and the last 45 minutes are some of the most tense, thrilling moments I've seen at the cinema. I almost thought I choke myself to death on my fingernails at one point. The problem with Argo is that it spends  virtually no time at all developing the characters, and in a movie like this that's almost unforgivable. Which is a shame, because if they had this would  have been a near masterpiece, instead it just turns out to be a very very good political thriller. Still, watch  out for future films with Ben Affleck at the helm, his masterpiece isn't  too far away

**** out of *****

Liked Lock Stock and Snatch?

Then you'll love Seven Psychopaths. Or you should, because it's the best multi-storyline gangster comedy since Guy Ritchie and Madonna got divorced. This is one of those movies where the main character is  trying to write a story, or in this case a screenplay, that mirrors the actual movie we're watching. You know, like they did in Adaption. Not saying Seven Psychopaths is unoriginal, far from it. It's full of interesting characters, unexpected plot developments and self referential humor, this was probably the funniest movie  I saw in 2012. It also has a great cast featuring Colin Farrell, Christopher Walken, Woody Harrelson and even Tom Waits (!). So, basically, you know you're gonna have a good time.

**** out of *****

And The Prize For Most Teen Cliches In One Film Goes To...

Yeah, The Perks of Being a Wallflower is full of them and attempts to tackle just about every issue facing teenagers in under 2 hours. Bullying, social acceptance, mental illness, depression, family relationships, love relationships, drugs, partying, they're all here. But, the thing is, the movie actually works and does a good job at exploring all of the above. The script is great, the story engaging, the cast brilliant and performances fantastic, the soundtrack top notch, the characters interesting and memorable, and it's damn funny. There's really not a lot to dislike about this film, excepting the aforementioned cliches. Should obtain something similar to cult status in a few years I boldly predict.

**** out of *****

East Meets West Meets Garbage

The Man with the Iron Fists is an attempt to do what I can only imagine is a sort of Tarantino inspired Western movie with Eastern influences, complete with over the top action scenes and excessive amounts of gore. However, instead of stylish action scenes, slick dialogue and interesting characters what this movie offers is a schizophrenic mess that not even the director's mum would say was worth the price of admission. It's pointless, makes no sense, and has Russell Crowe in it for some reason. Nuff said about this epic waste of time.

* out of *****  

Love

Or Amour, as it's known by it's original title pretty much everywhere, is the best movie released in 2012. Not that I've seen every movie that was released in 2012, but I find it so unlikely that anything would top this masterpiece that I'm willing to claim it. The story is simple enough, and old ordinary couple, neither especially dull or especially interesting, are just living their lives together after years of marriage when the wife's health starts to deteriorate. After undergoing surgery and suffering multiple strokes we watch as she slowly starts to slip away, and while her husband cares for her without fail despite the protests of their children that she should be put in a home.

The story may be simple, but it's told with such heartbreaking subtlety, grace and poignancy that even the most avid action film junkie would be hard pressed not to shed a tear. Forget about your Hugh Grant's and Colin Firth's, this old French dude is the most romantic male lead you're likely to see in a movie, and Amour captures the most raw, honest portrayal of true love I think I've seen on film.

There are a good movies, there are great movies, then there are those rare transcendent film experiences that speak to the core of our humanity and just leave all other cinematic experiences for dead. Amour, like Tree of Life from 2011, falls in that rare latter category. Winner of the Cannes Film festival, it's almost unfair that other movies had to compete against it. It should win the major prize come Oscars time, but we all know that will go to some historical drama or biopic piece of nonsense we've seen 1000 times before. But hey, that's Hollywood. I saw this as the last film of the Brisbane Film Festival, but it's not officially out in Australia until later this year. Go out of your way to see it times a million. I can't stress it enough.

***** out of *****